Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon - Qualification, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 June 2025, Monday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Max, Max
Bulgaria	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Finland	Max
Hungary	Max
Netherlands	Max
Norway	MAX
Romania	Max
Sweden	Max


	Marco Trungelliti		Alibek Kachmazov

	1	2
	2	1.73
	1.91	1.83
			Watch
	2.09	1.77
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	2.05	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.86)	1.79 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
47.5%

Alibek Kachmazov
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Alibek Kachmazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco Trungelliti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alibek Kachmazov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Marco Trungelliti - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Kachmazov will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 154. Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 173.

Trungelliti is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kachmazov's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kachmazov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Marco Trungelliti - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.93%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Alibek Kachmazov - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.07%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Marco Trungelliti - Colton Smith	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
14.06.25	Marco Trungelliti - Clement Tabur	2:0 ✺
13.06.25	Marco Trungelliti - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:1 ✺
12.06.25	Marco Trungelliti - Ivan Gakhov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWW
- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
15.06.25	Jan Choinski - Alibek Kachmazov	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.05.25	Ilia Simakin - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
05.05.25	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

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