Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures, clay - Final

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Marco Trungelliti		Mili Poljicak

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.17	4.64	Watch
	1.34	3.1	Watch
	1.49	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.49)	3.25 ↑ (2.45)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
70.7%

Mili Poljicak
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marco Trungelliti's performance.

Mili Poljicak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mili Poljicak might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marco Trungelliti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mili Poljicak could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	0%	5.9%

Marco Trungelliti - Mili Poljicak Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Trungelliti (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Marco Trungelliti will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marco Trungelliti will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Poljicak (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 150. Poljicak is ranked ATP: 406.

Trungelliti has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Poljicak is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Poljicak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Trungelliti could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Trungelliti will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
13.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Franco Agamenone	2:1 ✺
10.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Andrew Paulson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW
- Mili Poljicak
ATP Challenger
13.09.25	Mili Poljicak - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Mili Poljicak - Cezar Cretu	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Mili Poljicak - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Mili Poljicak - Nicholas David Ionel	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	Sumit Nagal - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWL

Marco Trungelliti - Mili Poljicak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide