Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2025, Monday


	Mili Poljicak		Nicholas David Ionel

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.2
	1.25	3.55	Watch
	1.23	4.16
	1.24	3.75	Watch
	1.25	3.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.58)	3.64 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mili Poljicak
74.3%

Nicholas David Ionel
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mili Poljicak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mili Poljicak's performance.

Nicholas David Ionel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicholas David Ionel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mili Poljicak that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicholas David Ionel than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicholas David Ionel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Mili Poljicak - Nicholas David Ionel Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Poljicak will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Ionel will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ionel (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Poljicak (1.79) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +5 Games - Ionel (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Poljicak (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Ionel (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Poljicak is ranked ATP: 304. Ionel is ranked ATP: 388.

Poljicak has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Ionel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Poljicak may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Poljicak won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Mili Poljicak - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 58.72%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mili Poljicak
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Sumit Nagal - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Mili Poljicak - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Mili Poljicak - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Mili Poljicak - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
ATP Umag
22.07.25	Jesper De Jong - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Nicholas David Ionel
ITF Tournaments
01.09.25	Nicholas David Ionel - Edouard Villoslada	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Nicholas David Ionel - Radu David Turcanu	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Nicholas David Ionel - Calin Teodor Stirbu	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Nicholas David Ionel - Vito DellElba	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Mihai Razvan Marinescu - Nicholas David Ionel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.03.22	Nicholas David Ionel - Mili Poljicak	2:1

Mili Poljicak - Nicholas David Ionel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide