Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tulln, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday


	Sumit Nagal		Mili Poljicak

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.64	2.12	Watch
	1.69	2.2
	1.68	2.13	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.67	2.12	Watch
	1.43	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.45)	2.19 ↓ (2.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
57.2%

Mili Poljicak
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sumit Nagal's form might have worsened.

Mili Poljicak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mili Poljicak's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sumit Nagal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mili Poljicak, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sumit Nagal - Mili Poljicak Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Poljicak (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nagal is ranked ATP: 293. Poljicak is ranked ATP: 304.

Nagal is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Poljicak is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Nagal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nagal could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Mili Poljicak - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.76%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
20.08.25	Sumit Nagal - Andrej Nedic	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Federico Coria - Sumit Nagal	Canceled ✺
04.08.25	Sumit Nagal - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
01.08.25	Sumit Nagal - Niels McDonald	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 L?LLW
- Mili Poljicak
ATP Challenger
26.08.25	Mili Poljicak - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Mili Poljicak - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Mili Poljicak - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
ATP Umag
22.07.25	Jesper De Jong - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.07.25	Matteo Gigante - Mili Poljicak	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Sumit Nagal - Mili Poljicak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide