Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Marco Trungelliti		Nerman Fatic

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
			Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.46	2.76
	1.43	2.66	Watch
			Watch
	1.44	2.68	Watch
	1.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)	2.65 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
64.6%

Nerman Fatic
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Nerman Fatic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nerman Fatic than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Marco Trungelliti - Nerman Fatic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Fatic will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 141. Fatic is ranked ATP: 231.

Recent performances by Trungelliti have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fatic is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Fatic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Trungelliti might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Trungelliti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Marco Trungelliti - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 62.5%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Zdenek Kolar - Marco Trungelliti	Canceled ✺
03.10.25	Vilius Gaubas - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	Henri Squire - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Tiago Pereira - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 ?LWWL
- Nerman Fatic
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Nerman Fatic	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.09.25	Nerman Fatic - Dusan Obradovic	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Nerman Fatic - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Nerman Fatic - Felix Gill	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Nerman Fatic - Tomas Farjat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 ?WWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.06.24	Marco Trungelliti - Nerman Fatic	2:1

Marco Trungelliti - Nerman Fatic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide