Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 4 October 2023, Wednesday


	Marcos Giron		Daniel Elahi Galan

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.45	2.8
	1.43	2.73
	1.46	2.92
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.77	Watch
	1.43	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.57)	2.79 ↑ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcos Giron
65.9%

Daniel Elahi Galan
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcos Giron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marcos Giron's performance.

Daniel Elahi Galan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Elahi Galan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Elahi Galan than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Marcos Giron - Daniel Elahi Galan Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Giron will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Galan will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Giron: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Giron is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Galan is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Giron could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Giron will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Giron won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcos Giron
ATP Astana
30.09.23	Marcos Giron - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
28.09.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
23.09.23	Marcos Giron - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
21.09.23	Alexander Bublik - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Marcos Giron - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLWL
- Daniel Elahi Galan
ATP Beijing
25.09.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:1 ✺
ATP Chengdu
21.09.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
15.09.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:1 ✺
14.09.23	Vladyslav Orlov - Daniel Elahi Galan	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Daniel Evans	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Halle
13.06.21	Marcos Giron - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0
ATP Los Cabos
29.07.18	Daniel Elahi Galan - Marcos Giron	0:2

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