Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 May 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub
France	beIN Sports, beIN Sports Max
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano		Madison Keys

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.8	1.45	Watch
	2.88	1.46
	2.89	1.46
	2.75	1.44
	2.71	1.47	Watch
	2.65	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.33)	1.46 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
34.7%

Madison Keys
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Camila Osorio Serrano's form might have worsened.

Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Madison Keys's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Camila Osorio Serrano than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Camila Osorio Serrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Madison Keys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Madison Keys Predictions

Users Predictions: Madison Keys will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Osorio Serrano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Keys will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Keys to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Osorio Serrano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
WTA Roma
07.05.24	Arantxa Rus - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.05.24	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Katerina Siniakova	0:2 ✺
03.05.24	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Magdalena Frech	2:1 ✺
02.05.24	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	2:1 ✺
01.05.24	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Mirjam Bjorklund	Bjorklund M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWW?
- Madison Keys
WTA Madrid
02.05.24	Iga Swiatek - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
30.04.24	Madison Keys - Ons Jabeur	2:1 ✺
29.04.24	Cori Gauff - Madison Keys	1:2 ✺
27.04.24	Madison Keys - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
25.04.24	Madison Keys - Irina-Camelia Begu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWWW

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Madison Keys: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide