Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Finals - Riyadh, hard

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	DAZN
France	beIN Sports MAX 4
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Italy	Super Tennis
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2, CANAL+ Sport 5


	Iga Swiatek		Madison Keys

	1	2
	1.22	4.33	Watch
	1.22	4.3
	1.26	3.64	Watch
	1.24	4.09	Watch
	1.2	4.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.26)	4.2 ↑ (3.64)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iga Swiatek
77.4%

Madison Keys
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.3%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iga Swiatek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Madison Keys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Iga Swiatek - Madison Keys Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Swiatek will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Keys will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swiatek: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games, 1st Set - Swiatek (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Keys (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Iga Swiatek will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Swiatek (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Keys (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Swiatek is ranked WTA: 2. Keys is ranked WTA: 7.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swiatek won 3.

Swiatek has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In this match, Swiatek is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Swiatek won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iga Swiatek
WTA Wuhan
10.10.25	Jasmine Paolini - Iga Swiatek	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Belinda Bencic - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Marie Bouzkova - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
01.10.25	Iga Swiatek - Emma Navarro	1:2 ✺
29.09.25	Iga Swiatek - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	Osorio C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWWL?
- Madison Keys
WTA US Open
25.08.25	Madison Keys - Renata Zarazua	1:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
13.08.25	Elena Rybakina - Madison Keys	2:1 ✺
11.08.25	Aoi Ito - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Eva Lys - Madison Keys	2:1 ✺
WTA Montreal
05.08.25	Madison Keys - Clara Tauson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Madrid
30.04.25	Madison Keys - Iga Swiatek	1:2
WTA Australian Open
23.01.25	Madison Keys - Iga Swiatek	2:1
WTA Roma
14.05.24	Iga Swiatek - Madison Keys	2:0
WTA Madrid
02.05.24	Iga Swiatek - Madison Keys	2:0
WTA Cincinnati
18.08.22	Iga Swiatek - Madison Keys	0:2
WTA Indian Wells
16.03.22	Iga Swiatek - Madison Keys	2:0
WTA Roma
12.05.21	Madison Keys - Iga Swiatek	0:2

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