Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Maria Timofeeva		Mia Pohankova

	1	2
	1.62	2.20	Watch
	1.55	2.35
	1.58	2.32	Watch
	1.62	2.18	Watch
	1.55	2.45
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.56	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.85)	2.29 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Timofeeva
59.3%

Mia Pohankova
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Timofeeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maria Timofeeva's performance.

Mia Pohankova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mia Pohankova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Timofeeva than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maria Timofeeva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mia Pohankova than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mia Pohankova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maria Timofeeva - Mia Pohankova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Timofeeva is ranked WTA: 87., and Pohankova is ranked WTA: 212..

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Timofeeva could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Mia Pohankova - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Timofeeva
ATP Challenger
25.09.26	Maria Timofeeva - Gabriela Knutson	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Maria Timofeeva - Kajsa Rinaldo Persson	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Maria Timofeeva - Sofia Johnson	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
03.09.26	Maria Timofeeva - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Tamara Zidansek - Maria Timofeeva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW
- Mia Pohankova
ATP Challenger
25.09.26	Mia Pohankova - Katie Swan	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Veronika Podrez - Mia Pohankova	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Francisca Jorge - Mia Pohankova	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Mia Pohankova - Gabriela Knutson	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Mia Pohankova - Kylie Collins	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLW

Maria Timofeeva - Mia Pohankova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide