The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mariano Navone 45.2%
Alexei Popyrin 54.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.6%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.2%
39.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mariano Navone's form might have worsened.
Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexei Popyrin's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+15%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mariano Navone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-15%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexei Popyrin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36.8%
0%
63.2%
Mariano Navone - Alexei Popyrin Predictions
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 13 - 35.1%). Popyrin will win (votes: 24 - 64.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Popyrin: 49.5% – 80.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Navone is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Popyrin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Popyrin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
Watch
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