Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday


	Francisco Cerundolo		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.35	3.1
	1.37	2.9	Watch
	1.44	2.98
	1.39	2.91	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.28)	2.94 ↓ (3.7)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
67.8%

Mariano Navone
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.3%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francisco Cerundolo's form might have worsened.

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mariano Navone's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Francisco Cerundolo - Mariano Navone Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Navone (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Francisco Cerundolo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Navone (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 19. Navone is ranked ATP: 73.

Cerundolo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Navone is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Navone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cerundolo is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cerundolo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Buenos Aires
15.02.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
25.01.26	Alexander Zverev - Francisco Cerundolo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWL
- Mariano Navone
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Mariano Navone - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Mariano Navone	Canceled ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Mariano Navone - Hamad Medjedovic	1:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
12.01.26	Mariano Navone - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Bastad
17.07.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Mariano Navone	2:0
ATP Bucharest
20.04.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Mariano Navone	1:2

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