Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Mariano Navone		Arthur Fils

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.60	1.28
	3.55	1.27	Watch
	3.92	1.31
	3.78	1.27	Watch
	3.85	1.28	Watch
	3.74	1.29	Watch
	3.55	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.15)	1.29 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
25.7%

Arthur Fils
74.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

73.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mariano Navone - Arthur Fils Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Fils will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20.5 Games - over (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rain delay.

Navone is ranked ATP: 44. Fils is ranked ATP: 24.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Navone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fils is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Navone won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Valentin Vacherot - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
03.08.26	Matteo Berrettini - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.26	Mariano Navone - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
20.07.26	Alexandre Muller - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLWW
- Arthur Fils
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Zachary Svajda - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
28.07.26	Arthur Fils - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	Matteo Berrettini - Arthur Fils	3:1 ✺
30.06.26	Raphael Collignon - Arthur Fils	0:3 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
24.06.26	Arthur Fils - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.08.22	Arthur Fils - Mariano Navone	0:2

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