Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/32-finals

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Matteo Berrettini		Arthur Fils

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.60	1.48
	2.75	1.45
	2.80	1.53
	1.59	2.30	Watch
	2.70	1.50
	2.83	1.50	Watch
	2.75	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.31)	1.58 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 40.00

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Berrettini
37.9%

Arthur Fils
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Berrettini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Fils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52%	0%	48%

Matteo Berrettini - Arthur Fils Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Fils will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Berrettini (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Matteo Berrettini will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Berrettini (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Berrettini is ranked ATP: 51. Fils is ranked ATP: 24.

Berrettini is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Fils has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Berrettini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fils is the team to beat.

We predict that Berrettini will win today's game, with odds of 2.91.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Berrettini won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Fils - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 57.61%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Stanislas Wawrinka - Matteo Berrettini	1:3 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
03.06.26	Matteo Berrettini - Matteo Arnaldi	Berrettini M. Retired ✺
01.06.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Matteo Berrettini	0:3 ✺
30.05.26	Matteo Berrettini - Francisco Comesana	3:2 ✺
28.05.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Matteo Berrettini	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 W?WWW
- Arthur Fils
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Raphael Collignon - Arthur Fils	0:3 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
24.06.26	Arthur Fils - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Jakub Mensik - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Stanislas Wawrinka - Arthur Fils	Canceled ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Arthur Fils	Fils A. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLW??

Latest Head to Head

ATP Tokyo
27.09.24	Arthur Fils - Matteo Berrettini	Berrettini M. retired
ATP Paris
01.11.22	Arthur Fils - Matteo Berrettini	Canceled

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