Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BUENOS AIRES 2 (ARGENTINA), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 12 October 2023, Thursday


	Mariano Navone		Gastao Elias

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.61	2.38
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.44	2.64	Watch
	1.52	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.68)	2.43 ↑ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
61.4%

Gastao Elias
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariano Navone's performance.

Gastao Elias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gastao Elias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Navone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gastao Elias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Mariano Navone - Gastao Elias Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Elias will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Navone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Navone will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Navone won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Challenger
10.10.23	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
20.09.23	Mariano Navone - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
17.09.23	Mariano Navone - Francisco Comesana	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Mariano Navone	Cerundolo J. M. retired ✺
15.09.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mariano Navone	Tirante T. A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLW??
- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
11.10.23	Gastao Elias - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
09.10.23	Marco Trungelliti - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Ezequiel Monferrer - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
05.10.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
03.10.23	Gastao Elias - Nerman Fatic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.11.22	Mariano Navone - Gastao Elias	2:0

Mariano Navone - Gastao Elias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide