Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Mariano Navone		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.1	1.85
	3.12	1.34	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.02	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.21)	1.74 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
44%

Jakub Mensik
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Mariano Navone - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). Mensik will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Navone is ranked ATP: 38. Mensik is ranked ATP: 27.

Navone is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mensik has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Navone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Mariano Navone - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 43.29%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Jakub Mensik - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 56.71%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Mariano Navone - Jenson Brooksby	3:0 ✺
ATP Geneva
23.05.26	Mariano Navone - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
22.05.26	Casper Ruud - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
21.05.26	Mariano Navone - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Cameron Norrie - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWWW
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.26	Titouan Droguet - Jakub Mensik	0:3 ✺
ATP Hamburg
20.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
18.05.26	Jakub Mensik - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Alexei Popyrin - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
28.04.26	Jakub Mensik - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLWLL

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