Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday


	Ignacio Buse		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.55	Watch
	2.4	1.66
	2.37	1.61	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.29	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.74)	1.61 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
40.6%

Jakub Mensik
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ignacio Buse's performance.

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jakub Mensik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ignacio Buse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jakub Mensik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Ignacio Buse - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Buse will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Mensik will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mensik: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mensik (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Buse is ranked ATP: 57. Mensik is ranked ATP: 28.

Buse is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Mensik has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mensik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mensik could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Jakub Mensik - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 65.87%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Hamburg
19.05.26	Flavio Cobolli - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Francis Tiafoe - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWLW
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Hamburg
18.05.26	Jakub Mensik - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Alexei Popyrin - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
28.04.26	Jakub Mensik - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Karen Khachanov - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Martin Damm - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWW

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