Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Girona, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Girona 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Marin Cilic		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.55	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.37	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.64	2.17	Watch
	1.55	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.77)	2.16 ↑ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
56.7%

Jesper De Jong
43.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Marin Cilic - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Cilic will win (votes: 24 - 75%). De Jong will win (votes: 8 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cilic: 60% – 90%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cilic is ranked ATP: 143. De Jong is ranked ATP: 105.

Recent matches Cilic is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

De Jong is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cilic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Challenger
28.03.25	Marin Cilic - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Marton Fucsovics - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Marin Cilic - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
27.02.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLL
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Challenger
28.03.25	Jesper De Jong - Sebastian Ofner	2:1 ✺
27.03.25	Jesper De Jong - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Jesper De Jong - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Carlos Taberner - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Ivan Gakhov - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLW

Marin Cilic - Jesper De Jong

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Marin Cilic - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Preview

Form

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