Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Buenos Aires (Argentina), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 February 2025, Friday


	Joao Fonseca		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
			Watch
	1.57	2.36	Watch
	1.61	2.47
	1.62	2.26	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.61	2.33	Watch
	1.57	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.5)	2.36 ↓ (2.6)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Fonseca
59.8%

Mariano Navone
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	0%	63.2%

Joao Fonseca - Mariano Navone Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Navone will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fonseca is ranked ATP: 99. Navone is ranked ATP: 47.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Navone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fonseca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Fonseca
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.25	Joao Fonseca - Federico Coria	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
02.02.25	Arthur Fils - Joao Fonseca	Canceled ✺
01.02.25	Ugo Humbert - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
16.01.25	Joao Fonseca - Lorenzo Sonego	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WW?LL
- Mariano Navone
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.25	Mariano Navone - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
10.02.25	Mariano Navone - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
31.01.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
30.01.25	Casper Ruud - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.25	Jack Draper - Mariano Navone	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
23.02.24	Joao Fonseca - Mariano Navone	1:2
ATP Challenger
17.11.22	Joao Fonseca - Mariano Navone	2:1

Joao Fonseca - Mariano Navone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide