Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Roberto Carballes Baena		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	6	1.13	Watch
	5.5	1.14
	6	1.13	Watch
	5.19	1.16	Watch
	5.5	1.14
	6.56	1.15	Watch
	6	1.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.82 ↑ (5.33)	1.14 ↓ (1.15)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
16.4%

Tommy Paul
83.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

82.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.6%	4.3%	26.1%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Paul will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carballes Baena: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 57. Paul is ranked ATP: 11.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Paul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Paul is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carballes Baena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - James Duckworth	3:0 ✺
12.01.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
08.01.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
07.01.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLWW
- Tommy Paul
ATP Australian Open
15.01.25	Kei Nishikori - Tommy Paul	1:3 ✺
13.01.25	Christopher OConnell - Tommy Paul	2:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide
10.01.25	Tommy Paul - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
08.01.25	Tommy Paul - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
07.01.25	Tommy Paul - Manuel Guinard	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
31.08.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Tommy Paul	3:1

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