Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Mallorca - Qualification, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday


	Mariano Navone		Sebastian Ofner

	1	2
			Watch
	4.75	1.16	Watch
			Watch
	5.13	1.17
			Watch
	4	1.22	Watch
	4.02	1.22	Watch
	4.55	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↑ (3.23)	1.19 ↓ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
21%

Sebastian Ofner
79%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mariano Navone's form might have worsened.

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Ofner's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mariano Navone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Ofner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Mariano Navone - Sebastian Ofner Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Ofner will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Navone (votes: 1 - 50%). Ofner (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Ofner (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Navone (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ofner (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Navone is ranked ATP: 90. Ofner is ranked ATP: 122.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ofner may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ofner is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Mariano Navone	3:1 ✺
28.05.25	Reilly Opelka - Mariano Navone	0:3 ✺
25.05.25	Mariano Navone - Brandon Nakashima	3:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Luca Nardi - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Jannik Sinner - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLL
- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Halle
17.06.25	Andrey Rublev - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Justin Engel - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
14.06.25	Sebastian Ofner - Nishesh Basavareddy	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.25	Karen Khachanov - Sebastian Ofner	3:2 ✺
26.05.25	Sebastian Ofner - Jan-Lennard Struff	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LW?LW

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