Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Turin 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday


	Luca Nardi		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.05	1.3	Watch
	3.35	1.35
	3.18	1.34	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.32	Watch
	3.05	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.29)	1.33 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
29.5%

Mariano Navone
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Nardi's form might have worsened.

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mariano Navone's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Nardi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mariano Navone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Luca Nardi - Mariano Navone Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Navone (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Mariano Navone will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Nardi is ranked ATP: 95. Navone is ranked ATP: 99.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Navone will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Nardi - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.45%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Luca Nardi - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
08.05.25	Luca Nardi - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Luca Nardi - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Alexey Vatutin - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Luca Nardi - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLWW
- Mariano Navone
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Jannik Sinner - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Mariano Navone - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Borna Coric - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Mariano Navone - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Mariano Navone - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWW

Luca Nardi - Mariano Navone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide