Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	12:00	Max
Croatia	11:00	Max
Czech Republic	11:00	Max
Denmark	11:00	Max
Finland	12:00	Max
France	11:00	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	11:00	Max
Norway	11:00	MAX
Poland	11:00	Max
Romania	12:00	Max
Serbia	11:00	Max
Slovenia	11:00	Max
Sweden	11:00	Max
Usa	05:00	Max


	Mariano Navone		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.5	2.6
	1.53	2.69
	1.47	2.63	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.51	2.58	Watch
	1.47	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.68)	2.61 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
63.5%

Brandon Nakashima
36.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariano Navone's performance.

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brandon Nakashima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Navone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brandon Nakashima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Mariano Navone - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Nakashima will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Navone (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Navone is ranked ATP: 98. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 29.

Navone has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nakashima is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nakashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Navone could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Navone won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Luca Nardi - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Jannik Sinner - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Mariano Navone - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Borna Coric - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Mariano Navone - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Hamburg
21.05.25	Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
19.05.25	Raphael Collignon - Brandon Nakashima	Collignon R. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.25	Brandon Nakashima - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
15.05.25	Brandon Nakashima - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 L?LWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.05.24	Brandon Nakashima - Mariano Navone	2:1

Mariano Navone - Brandon Nakashima