Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Reilly Opelka		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.7	1.26
	3.95	1.25	Watch
	4.49	1.24
	4.07	1.24	Watch
	3.5	1.3
	4.01	1.26	Watch
	3.95	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.31)	1.26 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reilly Opelka
24.1%

Mariano Navone
75.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

71.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

72.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Reilly Opelka - Mariano Navone Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +6 Games - Opelka (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mariano Navone will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mariano Navone will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Opelka (votes: 1 - 25%). Navone (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Opelka is ranked ATP: 93. Navone is ranked ATP: 97.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Opelka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Navone is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Opelka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reilly Opelka
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Reilly Opelka - Rinky Hijikata	3:1 ✺
ATP Geneva
18.05.25	Reilly Opelka - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
17.05.25	Reilly Opelka - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Learner Tien - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Reilly Opelka - Ignacio Buse	Opelka R. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWL?
- Mariano Navone
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Mariano Navone - Brandon Nakashima	3:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Luca Nardi - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Jannik Sinner - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Mariano Navone - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Borna Coric - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Auckland
06.01.25	Mariano Navone - Reilly Opelka	Canceled

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