Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Karen Khachanov		Sebastian Ofner

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.44	2.8	Watch
	1.42	3.08
	1.43	2.82	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.43	2.86	Watch
	1.44	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.65)	2.82 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
66.3%

Sebastian Ofner
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karen Khachanov's performance.

Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sebastian Ofner might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karen Khachanov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sebastian Ofner could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Karen Khachanov - Sebastian Ofner Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Ofner (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Ofner (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Ofner (4.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 38.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Karen Khachanov will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Ofner (votes: 5 - 45.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 24. Ofner is ranked ATP: 108.

Khachanov has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ofner is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ofner may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Khachanov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Khachanov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.25	Karen Khachanov - Aleksandar Vukic	3:0 ✺
ATP Geneva
22.05.25	Karen Khachanov - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
21.05.25	Karen Khachanov - Kei Nishikori	Nishikori K. retired ✺
ATP Roma
13.05.25	Karen Khachanov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Francesco Passaro - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WL?LW
- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.25	Sebastian Ofner - Jan-Lennard Struff	3:1 ✺
ATP Geneva
23.05.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
22.05.25	Karen Khachanov - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
21.05.25	Sebastian Ofner - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Sebastian Ofner - Ivan Gakhov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Geneva
22.05.25	Karen Khachanov - Sebastian Ofner	1:2

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