Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday


	Marin Cilic		Arthur Cazaux

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.57	2.42	Watch
	1.56	2.56
	1.58	2.45	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.58	2.4	Watch
	1.57	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.71)	2.43 ↑ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
60.7%

Arthur Cazaux
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marin Cilic's performance.

Arthur Cazaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Cazaux might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marin Cilic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Cazaux could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Marin Cilic - Arthur Cazaux Predictions

Users Predictions: Marin Cilic will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cilic is ranked ATP: 373. Cazaux is ranked ATP: 92.

Cilic is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Cazaux is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cazaux could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cilic will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Tokyo
26.09.24	Marin Cilic - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.24	Marin Cilic - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Marin Cilic - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Marin Cilic - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWWWW
- Arthur Cazaux
ATP Challenger
26.09.24	Arthur Cazaux - James McCabe	1:2 ✺
25.09.24	Arthur Cazaux - Ilia Simakin	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Arthur Cazaux - Vadym Ursu	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.24	Brandon Nakashima - Arthur Cazaux	3:0 ✺
26.08.24	Arthur Cazaux - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLW

Marin Cilic - Arthur Cazaux: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide