Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou (China), hard - Final

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday


	Marin Cilic		Zhizhen Zhang

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.72
	2.19	1.66	Watch
	2.19	1.75
	2.19	1.74	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.68	Watch
	2.19	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.04)	1.69 ↓ (1.78)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
43.6%

Zhizhen Zhang
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Zhizhen Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Marin Cilic - Zhizhen Zhang Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Cilic will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Zhang will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zhang: 38.6% – 78%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cilic is ranked ATP: 373. Zhang is ranked ATP: 43.

Cilic is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zhang in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Zhang to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Hangzhou
23.09.24	Marin Cilic - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Marin Cilic - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
18.09.24	Marin Cilic - Zachary Svajda	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.09.24	Marin Cilic - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWWL
- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Hangzhou
23.09.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
19.09.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Jack Draper	Zhang Z. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWW?

Marin Cilic - Zhizhen Zhang: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide