Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday


	Marin Cilic		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.87	1.91
	1.89	1.88	Watch
	2.24	1.65	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.94	1.86	Watch
	1.86	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.09)	1.85 ↑ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
48.7%

Nuno Borges
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Marin Cilic - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Cilic will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Borges will win (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cilic: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marin Cilic will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cilic is ranked ATP: 70. Borges is ranked ATP: 45.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cilic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Nuno Borges - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 56.18%, but this team recently wins 85% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Hong Kong
05.01.26	Marin Cilic - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.11.25	Marin Cilic - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Marin Cilic - Stefano Napolitano	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Marin Cilic - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
23.10.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWL
- Nuno Borges
ATP Hong Kong
05.01.26	Damir Dzumhur - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
ATP Athens
06.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
ATP Paris
27.10.25	Learner Tien - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Estoril
28.04.21	Marin Cilic - Nuno Borges	2:1

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