Match Info

Date: 11 August 2022, Thursday


	Marin Cilic		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	1.66	2.2
	1.7	2.1
	1.68	2.17
	1.66	2.13
	1.72	2.26
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.66	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.73)	2.19 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
56.6%

Tommy Paul
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.4%	0%	69.6%

Marin Cilic - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 79 users predict this event. Cilic will win (votes: 24 - 30.4%). Paul will win (votes: 55 - 69.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 59.5% – 79.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cilic is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Paul is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cilic won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Montreal
10.08.22	Marin Cilic - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
09.08.22	Marin Cilic - Borna Coric	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.22	Marin Cilic - Mackenzie McDonald	Canceled ✺
ATP London
18.06.22	Filip Krajinovic - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
17.06.22	Emil Ruusuvuori - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WW?LW
- Tommy Paul
ATP Montreal
10.08.22	Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:1 ✺
09.08.22	Vasek Pospisil - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
03.08.22	Tommy Paul - Nick Kyrgios	0:2 ✺
ATP Atlanta
29.07.22	Ilya Ivashka - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
27.07.22	Soon Woo Kwon - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Adelaide 2
12.01.22	Tommy Paul - Marin Cilic	1:2
ATP Moscow
20.10.21	Tommy Paul - Marin Cilic	0:2

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