Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Austin, hard - Final

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Marina Stakusic		Renata Zarazua

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.89	1.81	Watch
	1.98	1.89
	2.31	1.56	Watch
	1.92	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.19)	1.78 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marina Stakusic
47.3%

Renata Zarazua
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marina Stakusic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Renata Zarazua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marina Stakusic than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renata Zarazua than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Marina Stakusic - Renata Zarazua Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Stakusic (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Zarazua (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Stakusic is ranked WTA: 151. Zarazua is ranked WTA: 82.

Stakusic has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Zarazua is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Stakusic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Renata Zarazua - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.56%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marina Stakusic
ATP Challenger
08.11.25	Iva Jovic - Marina Stakusic	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Marina Stakusic - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Marina Stakusic - Mary Lewis	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Caroline Dolehide - Marina Stakusic	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.11.25	Elvina Kalieva - Marina Stakusic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW
- Renata Zarazua
ATP Challenger
08.11.25	Renata Zarazua - Carmen Andreea Herea	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Elizabeth Mandlik - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Claire Liu - Renata Zarazua	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	Hina Inoue - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.10.25	Renata Zarazua - Petra Marcinko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWL

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