Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez		Eric Vanshelboim

	1	2
			Watch
	1.63	2.24
	1.68	2.11	Watch
	1.73	2.02	Watch
	1.8	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.8)	2.05 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
54.5%

Eric Vanshelboim
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Eric Vanshelboim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eric Vanshelboim than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Eric Vanshelboim Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gonzalez Fernandez will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Vanshelboim will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vanshelboim (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Gonzalez Fernandez (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gonzalez Fernandez (votes: 1 - 50%). Vanshelboim (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 719. Vanshelboim is ranked ATP: 501.

Gonzalez Fernandez is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vanshelboim has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vanshelboim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 50.41%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Eric Vanshelboim - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 49.59%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ITF Tournaments
21.09.25	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Alec Deckers	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Ryan Peniston - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Dali Blanch - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Ioannis Xilas - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Pedro Araujo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 LWWWW
- Eric Vanshelboim
ITF Tournaments
26.09.25	Eric Vanshelboim - Jan Kumstat	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Eric Vanshelboim - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.08.25	Eric Vanshelboim - Lilian Marmousez	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Adhithya Ganesan - Eric Vanshelboim	0:2 ✺
28.08.25	John Sperle - Eric Vanshelboim	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWW

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Eric Vanshelboim: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide