Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Segovia 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez		Keegan Smith

	1	2
			Watch
	4.25	1.18
	4.05	1.18
	4.98	1.2
	4.82	1.15	Watch
	5.25	1.17	Watch
	4.2	1.19	Watch
	4.05	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↑ (3.63)	1.18 ↓ (1.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
20.7%

Keegan Smith
79.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.2%

74.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Keegan Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Gonzalez Fernandez will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Smith will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 608. Smith is ranked ATP: 209.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Gonzalez Fernandez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Smith is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gonzalez Fernandez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ATP Challenger
20.07.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
13.07.26	Dominik Palan - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	S D Prajwal Dev - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Tiago Torres	1:2 ✺
30.06.26	Matthew Summers - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLW
- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Digvijay Pratap Singh - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Niels McDonald - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Keegan Smith - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Andrej Nedic - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.03.24	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Keegan Smith	2:1

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Keegan Smith