Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez		Marko Topo

	1	2
			Watch
	3.10	1.30
	3.60	1.24	Watch
	3.28	1.3	Watch
	3.20	1.34
	3.27	1.29	Watch
	3.15	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.6)	1.3 ↑ (1.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
28.4%

Marko Topo
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

74.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Marko Topo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Marko Topo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 568., and Topo is ranked ATP: 362..

Recent results have been tough for Gonzalez Fernandez (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Topo is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Gonzalez Fernandez could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Topo for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Gonzalez Fernandez has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Marko Topo - the odds 1.23 are the expected chance of winning is 74.53%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ITF Tournaments
22.09.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Giulio Perego	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Mykyta Mashtakov - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLLW
- Marko Topo
ITF Tournaments
20.09.26	Marko Topo - Kristijan Juhas	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Marko Topo - Alexandre Aubriot	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Marko Topo - Stefan Popovic	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Marko Topo - Nikita Belozertsev	2:1 ✺
17.09.26	Marko Topo - Caheer Warik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.11.24	Marko Topo - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	1:2
31.10.24	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Marko Topo	0:2

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Marko Topo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide