Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Setubal, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Setubal 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez		Giulio Perego

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Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
69.9%

Giulio Perego
30.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Giulio Perego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giulio Perego than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 568., and Perego is ranked ATP: 894..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Perego could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Gonzalez Fernandez for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Mykyta Mashtakov - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Matt Kuhar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLWW
- Giulio Perego
ITF Tournaments
03.09.26	Giulio Perego - Jake Fellows	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Giulio Perego - Aradhya Kshitij	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.08.26	Giulio Perego - Fabrizio Andaloro	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Giulio Perego - Arvid Nordquist	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Filip Peliwo - Giulio Perego	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWL

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Giulio Perego: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide