Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Casablanca 2, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Casablanca 2 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez		Stijn Slump

	1	2
	2.15	1.6
	2.2	1.65
			Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.24	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.24)	1.6 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
42%

Stijn Slump
58%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Stijn Slump has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stijn Slump than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Stijn Slump Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 613. Slump is ranked ATP: 575.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Slump is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gonzalez Fernandez won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.51%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ITF Tournaments
27.06.25	Rodrigo Alujas - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
26.06.25	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	Gonzalez Fernandez M. walkover ✺
25.06.25	Francesco Ferrari - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Yassine Dlimi - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Sergi Perez Contri - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 W?WLL
- Stijn Slump
ITF Tournaments
27.06.25	Amine Jamji - Stijn Slump	0:2 ✺
26.06.25	Maximilian Figl - Stijn Slump	1:2 ✺
25.06.25	Yazid Lahjomri - Stijn Slump	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Stijn Slump - Walid Ahouda	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Stijn Slump - Laurent Lokoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.06.24	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Stijn Slump	2:0
23.06.24	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Stijn Slump	0:2
13.12.23	Stijn Slump - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	1:2

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Stijn Slump