Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jiujiang, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday


	Mark Lajal		Akira Santillan

	1	2
	1.14	5.03	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.31	3.15
	1.35	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.35)	3.57 ↑ (2.85)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Lajal
73.6%

Akira Santillan
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mark Lajal's performance.

Akira Santillan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Akira Santillan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akira Santillan than the current prediction. (+1%)

Mark Lajal - Akira Santillan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajal is ranked ATP: 164. Santillan is ranked ATP: 315.

Recent form of Lajal has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Santillan is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lajal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lajal is considered a favorite.

We predict that Santillan will win today's game, with odds of 2.91.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
22.04.26	Mark Lajal - Yu Hsiou Hsu	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Mark Lajal - Maximus Jones	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Mark Lajal	Canceled ✺
03.03.26	Dan Added - Mark Lajal	Canceled ✺
26.02.26	Mark Lajal - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LW??L
- Akira Santillan
ITF Tournaments
22.04.26	Akira Santillan - Takuya Kumasaka	Santillan A. Retired ✺
21.04.26	Akira Santillan - Qian Sun	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Akira Santillan - Yuichiro Inui	Canceled ✺
12.04.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Akira Santillan	Castelnuovo L. Walkover ✺
10.04.26	Akira Santillan - Charles Broom	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 ?W??W

Mark Lajal - Akira Santillan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide