Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jiujiang, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Mark Lajal		Fajing Sun

	1	2
	1.58	2.54
	1.61	2.21	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.48	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.83)	2.43 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Lajal
61.2%

Fajing Sun
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mark Lajal's performance.

Fajing Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fajing Sun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mark Lajal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fajing Sun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Mark Lajal - Fajing Sun Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lajal will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sun will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajal is ranked ATP: 164. Sun is ranked ATP: 213.

Lajal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sun is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lajal could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Mark Lajal - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Mark Lajal - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Mark Lajal - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Mark Lajal - Yu Hsiou Hsu	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Mark Lajal - Maximus Jones	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Mark Lajal	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLW?
- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Ognjen Milic - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Fajing Sun - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Fajing Sun - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Sergey Fomin - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Fajing Sun - Giles Hussey	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWW

Mark Lajal - Fajing Sun: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide