Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ORTISEI (ITALY), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 25 October 2023, Wednesday


	Mark Lajal		Mathias Bourgue

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.58	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.33
	1.63	2.33
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.59	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.67)	2.26 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Lajal
58.7%

Mathias Bourgue
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Mathias Bourgue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Mark Lajal - Mathias Bourgue Predictions

Users Predictions: Mark Lajal will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Lajal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bourgue is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bourgue could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
23.10.23	Mark Lajal - Kacper Zuk	2:0 ✺
ATP Antwerp
18.10.23	Arthur Fils - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
16.10.23	Jaume Munar - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.10.23	Mark Lajal - Tennys Sandgren	1:2 ✺
05.10.23	Bernard Tomic - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWLL
- Mathias Bourgue
ATP Challenger
24.10.23	Mathias Bourgue - Joao Sousa	2:1 ✺
19.10.23	Francesco Forti - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
18.10.23	Mathias Bourgue - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
16.10.23	Mathias Bourgue - Ryan Nijboer	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	Mathias Bourgue - Luigi Castelletti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWW

Mark Lajal - Mathias Bourgue: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide