Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bloomfield Hills, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday


	Mark Lajal		Pablo Llamas Ruiz

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.98
	1.75	1.9
	1.84	2.06
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.71	2.12	Watch
	1.77	1.92	Watch
	1.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.79)	1.98 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Lajal
52.8%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Mark Lajal - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Predictions

Users Predictions: Mark Lajal will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajal is ranked ATP: 150. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 117.

Lajal is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Llamas Ruiz has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Llamas Ruiz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lajal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Pablo Llamas Ruiz - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 48.43%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Mark Lajal - Darwin Blanch	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Mark Lajal - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Mark Lajal - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Mark Lajal - Mitchell Krueger	Krueger M. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWW?
- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Bruno Kuzuhara - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Alexis Galarneau - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Canceled ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Zachary Svajda	0:3 ✺
25.06.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Tristan Boyer	1:3 ✺
24.06.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 W?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.07.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Mark Lajal	2:0

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