Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	Marko Topo		Cezar Cretu

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.21
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.62	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.7)	2.15 ↑ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marko Topo
56.6%

Cezar Cretu
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marko Topo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Cezar Cretu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cezar Cretu than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Marko Topo - Cezar Cretu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Topo is ranked ATP: 250. Cretu is ranked ATP: 378.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Cretu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Marko Topo - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.3%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Cezar Cretu - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.7%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marko Topo
ATP Munich
14.04.26	Zizou Bergs - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Marko Topo	Topo M. Retired ✺
11.04.26	Marko Topo - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Marko Topo - Marc-Andrea Huesler	Topo M. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.02.26	Marko Topo - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 L?W?L
- Cezar Cretu
ATP Challenger
20.04.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Cezar Cretu	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Cezar Cretu	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Cezar Cretu - Franco Agamenone	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Cezar Cretu - Francesco Forti	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.03.26	Cezar Cretu - Noah Perfetti	Cretu C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLL?

Marko Topo - Cezar Cretu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide