Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 6 - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday


	Marko Topo		Eero Vasa

	1	2
			Watch
	1.35	2.95	Watch
	1.38	3.14
	1.35	2.94	Watch
	1.33	2.9	Watch
	1.33	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.39)	3 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marko Topo
69%

Eero Vasa
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marko Topo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Eero Vasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eero Vasa than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Marko Topo - Eero Vasa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Topo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Vasa will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Topo is ranked ATP: 251. Vasa is ranked ATP: 430.

Topo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vasa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Vasa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Topo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Vasa will win today's game, with odds of 2.75.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marko Topo
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Marko Topo - Nishesh Basavareddy	Canceled ✺
28.04.26	Marko Topo - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Marko Topo - Cezar Cretu	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
14.04.26	Zizou Bergs - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Marko Topo	Topo M. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 ?LLL?
- Eero Vasa
ITF Tournaments
28.04.26	Tom Sickenberger - Eero Vasa	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Eero Vasa - Oriol Roca Batalla	0:2 ✺
24.04.26	Daniel Rincon - Eero Vasa	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Pierre Delage - Eero Vasa	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Paul Theate - Eero Vasa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWW

Marko Topo - Eero Vasa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide