Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Menorca - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 31 March 2025, Monday


	Marko Topo		Max Alcala Gurri

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.25	Watch
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.6	2.28	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.64	2.17	Watch
	1.63	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.56)	2.21 ↓ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marko Topo
57.9%

Max Alcala Gurri
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marko Topo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Max Alcala Gurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Marko Topo - Max Alcala Gurri Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Topo will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Alcala Gurri will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcala Gurri: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Topo is ranked ATP: 354. Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 409.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Alcala Gurri could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Topo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marko Topo
ATP Challenger
30.03.25	Marko Topo - Sergio Martos Gornes	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Mili Poljicak - Marko Topo	2:1 ✺
17.03.25	Lilian Marmousez - Marko Topo	Marmousez L. retired ✺
16.03.25	Neil Oberleitner - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Marko Topo - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WL?WL
- Max Alcala Gurri
ATP Challenger
30.03.25	Michiel De Krom - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
24.03.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.03.25	Lukas Neumayer - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Taha Baadi	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Manuel Mazza - Max Alcala Gurri	Alcala Gurri M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLW?

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