Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday


	Marko Topo		Pol Martin Tiffon

	1	2
			Watch
	2.40	1.53
	2.55	1.49	Watch
	2.45	1.57
	2.41	1.54	Watch
	2.40	1.55	Watch
	2.45	1.49	Watch
	2.39	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.42)	1.52 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Marko Topo
38.5%

Pol Martin Tiffon
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marko Topo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Pol Martin Tiffon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marko Topo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pol Martin Tiffon than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pol Martin Tiffon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Marko Topo - Pol Martin Tiffon Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Topo will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Martin Tiffon will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Martin Tiffon (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3 Games - Martin Tiffon (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Martin Tiffon (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Topo is ranked ATP: 350. Martin Tiffon is ranked ATP: 218.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Topo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Martin Tiffon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marko Topo
ATP Challenger
01.07.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Marko Topo - Leo Raquillet	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Marko Topo - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Ilia Simakin - Marko Topo	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Marko Topo - Ryan Seggerman	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL
- Pol Martin Tiffon
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.06.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Dali Blanch	Canceled ✺
29.05.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:1 ✺
28.05.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LW?LW

Upcoming Matches