Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Marta Kostyuk		Elena Rybakina

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.7	1.28	Watch
	3.82	1.31
	3.64	1.3	Watch
	3.5	1.3
	3.7	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↓ (3.82)	1.29 ↑ (1.26)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marta Kostyuk
26%

Elena Rybakina
74%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

75.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Elena Rybakina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Marta Kostyuk - Elena Rybakina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Rybakina (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elena Rybakina will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elena Rybakina will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Rybakina (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 28. Rybakina is ranked WTA: 3.

Kostyuk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rybakina is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Rybakina is considered a favorite.

We predict that Rybakina will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kostyuk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Elena Rybakina - the odds 1.26 are the expected chance of winning is 75.2%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.26	Marta Kostyuk - Taylor Townsend	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
17.01.26	Elsa Jacquemot - Marta Kostyuk	2:1 ✺
WTA Brisbane
11.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Marta Kostyuk	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Jessica Pegula - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Mirra Andreeva - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLWW
- Elena Rybakina
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.26	Hailey Baptiste - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
18.02.26	Elena Rybakina - Antonia Ruzic	Rybakina E. retired ✺
17.02.26	Elena Rybakina - Kimberly Birrell	2:0 ✺
WTA Doha
12.02.26	Victoria Mboko - Elena Rybakina	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Qinwen Zheng - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 W?WLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Montreal
04.08.25	Marta Kostyuk - Elena Rybakina	Kostyuk M. retired
WTA Stuttgart
21.04.24	Elena Rybakina - Marta Kostyuk	2:0
WTA US Open
28.08.23	Elena Rybakina - Marta Kostyuk	2:0
WTA Adelaide
04.01.23	Marta Kostyuk - Elena Rybakina	2:1

Marta Kostyuk - Elena Rybakina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide