Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday


	Marta Kostyuk		Madison Keys

	1	2
	1.73	2.10	Watch
	1.70	2.10
	1.71	2.09	Watch
	1.78	2.16
	1.73	2.11	Watch
	1.76	2.13
	1.74	2.14	Watch
	1.75	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.67)	2.12 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marta Kostyuk
55%

Madison Keys
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marta Kostyuk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Marta Kostyuk - Madison Keys Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kostyuk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 11. Keys is ranked WTA: 23.

Kostyuk is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Keys has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kostyuk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kostyuk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Toronto
04.08.26	Marta Kostyuk - Katherine Sebov	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
09.07.26	Marta Kostyuk - Linda Noskova	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Marta Kostyuk - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
06.07.26	Ashlyn Krueger - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Emma Navarro - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWW
- Madison Keys
WTA Toronto
04.08.26	Antonia Ruzic - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
WTA Washington
27.07.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Madison Keys	2:1 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
06.07.26	Madison Keys - Linda Noskova	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Amanda Anisimova - Madison Keys	1:2 ✺
02.07.26	Katie Swan - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wimbledon
05.07.24	Marta Kostyuk - Madison Keys	0:2
08.07.23	Marta Kostyuk - Madison Keys	0:2

Marta Kostyuk - Madison Keys: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide