Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bordeaux, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday


	Martin Damm		Grigor Dimitrov

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.17	1.61	Watch
	2.26	1.69
	2.26	1.61	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.16	1.62	Watch
	2.31	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.39)	1.61 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Damm
42%

Grigor Dimitrov
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Damm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Martin Damm that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grigor Dimitrov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Martin Damm - Grigor Dimitrov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Damm will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Dimitrov will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Damm is ranked ATP: 115. Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 170.

Recent performances by Damm have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dimitrov's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dimitrov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dimitrov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Grigor Dimitrov - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 61.23%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Damm
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Martin Damm - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Martin Damm - Jelle Sels	Canceled ✺
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Martin Damm - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Alexei Popyrin - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 W?LLW
- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Daniel Vallejo - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
04.04.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Grigor Dimitrov	Cabal J. S./Farah R. Walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLW?

Martin Damm - Grigor Dimitrov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide