Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Martin Damm		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.45	1.31
	3.61	1.35
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.6	1.29
	3.44	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.46)	1.32 ↑ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Damm
27.5%

Jakub Mensik
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

72.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

76.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Damm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Martin Damm - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Damm will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Mensik will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Damm (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Damm is ranked ATP: 126. Mensik is ranked ATP: 27.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Damm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mensik is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Damm
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Alexei Popyrin - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Christian Garin - Martin Damm	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Alex Rybakov - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
ATP Houston
31.03.26	Martin Damm - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWLL
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.26	Jakub Mensik - Fabian Marozsan	Canceled ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.26	Francis Tiafoe - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Adam Walton - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Marcos Giron - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 ?LWLW

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