Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS 2 (PORTUGAL), HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV4


	Martin Damm		Leandro Riedi

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.41	1.61
	2.41	1.62
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.21	1.63	Watch
	2.24	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2)	1.62 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Damm
41.9%

Leandro Riedi
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Damm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Martin Damm's form might have worsened.

Leandro Riedi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leandro Riedi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leandro Riedi than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	0%	82.4%

Martin Damm - Leandro Riedi Predictions

Users Predictions: Leandro Riedi will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Riedi to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Damm
ATP Challenger
12.01.24	Marius Copil - Martin Damm	1:2 ✺
11.01.24	Joao Sousa - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
10.01.24	Paul Jubb - Martin Damm	1:2 ✺
09.01.24	Michael Geerts - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
17.11.23	Martin Damm - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWL
- Leandro Riedi
ATP Challenger
12.01.24	Leandro Riedi - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
11.01.24	Leandro Riedi - Elmer Moeller	2:0 ✺
10.01.24	Leandro Riedi - Sebastian Fanselow	2:0 ✺
09.01.24	Leandro Riedi - Aidan McHugh	2:0 ✺
27.11.23	Leandro Riedi - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWL

Martin Damm - Leandro Riedi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide