Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday


	Marton Fucsovics		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.2	1.68	Watch
	2.23	1.63
	2.37	1.65
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.32)	1.64 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marton Fucsovics
42%

Francisco Cerundolo
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marton Fucsovics has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marton Fucsovics than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	0%	31.6%

Marton Fucsovics - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Fucsovics will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fucsovics: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Fucsovics is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerundolo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cerundolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cerundolo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Cerundolo to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marton Fucsovics
ATP Shanghai
06.10.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marton Fucsovics	1:2 ✺
04.10.23	Denis Yevseyev - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
ATP Astana
29.09.23	Marton Fucsovics - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.23	Rinky Hijikata - Marton Fucsovics	3:0 ✺
28.08.23	Marton Fucsovics - Sebastian Korda	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLLW
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Shanghai
06.10.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
22.09.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
17.09.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Richard Berankis	Canceled ✺
16.09.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.23	Jiri Vesely - Francisco Cerundolo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WW?WL

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