Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday


	Marton Fucsovics		Zizou Bergs

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.1	Watch
	1.69	2.14	Watch
	1.77	2.15
	1.63	2.2	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2.11	Watch
	1.69	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.09)	2.14 ↑ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marton Fucsovics
55.7%

Zizou Bergs
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marton Fucsovics has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marton Fucsovics's performance.

Zizou Bergs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zizou Bergs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marton Fucsovics than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marton Fucsovics that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zizou Bergs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Marton Fucsovics - Zizou Bergs Predictions

Users Predictions: Marton Fucsovics will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marton Fucsovics will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fucsovics is ranked ATP: 134. Bergs is ranked ATP: 50.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Bergs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Marton Fucsovics - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 43.82%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Zizou Bergs - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 56.18%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marton Fucsovics
ATP Roma
06.05.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
05.05.25	Marton Fucsovics - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Marton Fucsovics - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
30.04.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Marton Fucsovics	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Marton Fucsovics - Borna Gojo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 L?LWL
- Zizou Bergs
ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Zizou Bergs - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
24.04.25	Zizou Bergs - Yoshihito Nishioka	Canceled ✺
ATP Munich
18.04.25	Fabian Marozsan - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Zizou Bergs - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Zizou Bergs - Alexander Bublik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 L?LWW

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