Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Maia 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Matej Dodig		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.41	2.7	Watch
	1.4	2.74	Watch
	1.45	2.8
	1.42	2.66	Watch
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.48)	2.71 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
65.7%

Lukas Neumayer
34.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Lukas Neumayer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matej Dodig that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lukas Neumayer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Matej Dodig - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dodig (votes: 1 - 50%). Neumayer (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Matej Dodig will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dodig is ranked ATP: 174., and Neumayer is ranked ATP: 180..

Dodig has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Neumayer is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Dodig may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Dodig holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Dodig in today's match, at odds of 1.41.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Dodig has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:0 (averaging 2:0 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Matej Dodig - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 61.99%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
14.10.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
11.10.26	Elmer Moller - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Matej Dodig - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	Marvin Moeller - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
08.10.26	Miguel Damas - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
14.10.26	Elmer Moller - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Matej Dodig - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	Lukas Neumayer - Max Alcala Gurri	2:1 ✺
08.10.26	Olle Wallin - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	Florian Broska - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.10.26	Matej Dodig - Lukas Neumayer	2:0
11.07.25	Matej Dodig - Lukas Neumayer	2:0

Matej Dodig - Lukas Neumayer